Monday, September 25 The beginning of the working week will again be quite calm due to the lack of important macroeconomic publications. However, the current overbought dollar may cause it to weaken. Today's statements by representatives of the European Central Bank may also have a potential impact on the market, especially when it comes to monetary policy. However, it is unlikely that they will touch on this sensitive topic. Tuesday, September 26 Important economic reports are also not expected on Tuesday. The main attention will be focused on the speeches of representatives of the monetary authorities, especially on statements from the US Federal Reserve System. Specific comments on the future actions of the regulator may cause activity in the market. However, again, everything will depend on the content of the statements. Wednesday, September 27 On Wednesday, analysts will be waiting for data on orders for durable goods in the United States. The projected decline of -1.4% may become an additional factor for the weakening of the dollar, especially given its current overbought. Thus, despite the apparent calmness of the beginning of the week, the market may revive by the middle. Thursday, September 28 But Thursday promises to be quite a busy day in terms of macroeconomic events. The main attention will be drawn to the speeches of representatives of the European Central Bank. And if they make any comments about monetary policy, it can cause a significant movement in the market. Data on applications for unemployment benefits in the US will also arouse considerable interest, especially given the recent comments of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. However, if the forecasts are confirmed and the indicators remain unchanged, then their impact on market sentiment may be minimal. US GDP data is also unlikely to cause a resonance, since the final data already taken into account by the market will be published. Friday, September 29 Friday starts with data on retail sales in Japan: it is expected that their growth rate should slow down from 6.8% to 5.8%. So the yen will almost certainly come under pressure. The main event not only on Friday, but throughout the week, will be a preliminary assessment of inflation in the eurozone. Forecasts suggest a decrease in the growth rate of consumer prices from 5.2% to 4.7%. And this not only excludes the possibility of a further increase in interest rates, but even hints at the possibility that the ECB will soon begin to reduce them. And the very prospect of such a development of events will provoke a noticeable weakening of the single European currency at the end of the trading week.
